Compute conditional probability as the fraction of one event's outcomes that also belong to another event.
Decide which option is better supported by data using conditional probability
Problem
Compare the conditional recovery rates \(0.70\) for treatment and \(0.55\) for control. State the conclusion supported by these data without making a causal claim.
Big Picture
What this problem is really about
Because both conditionals measure recovery within their respective groups, their rates are directly comparable. We’ll convert and align the two percentages, identify the higher observed rate, compute the percentage-point gap, and state only the descriptive data-set conclusion without claiming causation.
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