Problem preview
S-ID.9 Core M1-059-R04-V01

Distinguish correlation from causation.

Use time order to detect reverse causation

Problem

A survey finds people who take more sick days report worse health. Classify the direction 'worse health \(\to~\) more sick days' as plausible reverse causation and state whether 'sick days \(\to~\) worse health' is established.

Big Picture

What this problem is really about

Time order is a necessary test for causation: a proposed cause must occur before its effect. If the supposed outcome can precede and influence the supposed cause, the reverse direction becomes plausible and weakens the forward story, though observational timing alone still does not prove the reverse explanation.

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Four variants of this problem type
Curriculum context
Course
Math I
Standard
S-ID.9
Category
Statistics and Probability
Domain
Interpreting Categorical and Quantitative Data
Objective
Distinguish correlation from causation.
Problem type
Use time order to detect reverse causation