Problem preview
MF.DP.3 Challenge MF-057-A12-V01

Compute and compare theoretical and experimental probability in simple settings.

Find every probability scenario that matches the target

Problem

The target theoretical probability of blue is \(1/4\). Evaluate candidates A–E, then report the \(\text{complete}~\text{matching}~\text{set}\).

A. A spinner has \(8~\text{equal}~\text{sections}\): \(2\) blue, \(3\) red, \(3\) yellow.
B. A bag has \(3\) blue, \(5\) green, and \(4\) white marbles; \(\text{one}~\text{marble}\) is drawn at random.
C. A box has \(6\) blue and \(18\) non-blue tiles; \(\text{one}~\text{tile}\) is drawn at random.
D. A spinner has \(12\) equal sections: \(3\) blue, \(4\) red, \(5\) green.
E. A deck has \(5\) blue cards and \(15\) cards of other colors; \(\text{one}~\text{card}\) is drawn at random.

Big Picture

What this problem is really about

Test every scenario with the same ratio: blue outcomes divided by all equally likely outcomes. Build each total by including every color or by adding blue and non-blue counts, then reduce the fraction and compare it with the target. This catches equivalent fractions while preventing a non-blue subtotal from being mistaken for the denominator.

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Four variants of this problem type
Curriculum context
Standard
MF.DP.3
Category
Data and Probability
Domain
Probability
Objective
Compute and compare theoretical and experimental probability in simple settings.
Problem type
Find every probability scenario that matches the target